Iran: just change one letter

With John Bolton confirmed as the USA's Ambassador to the UN (somehow had a good laugh over that one) and recent election results putting a hardliner in Iran's top spot, the scene is now set: we're 100% likely to see an American invasion of Iran within three years.
Of course, it can't happen until Iraq has been abandoned to its civil war (which is just getting rolling) but it won't take more than a year after that - after all, they only need to change the q's to n's on the invasion plans, a task even Dubya could handle.

Presumably it won't have British support this time - I can't imagine even Blair going for that, unless as a last-ditch attempt to create some sort of legacy (he'll be handing over to Brown around then.) But the USA will go ahead anyway. The only thing that could stop all this? Something Saddam said a few years back: 'America cannot take 10,000 body bags'.

Hate to admit it - but he's right. If American casualties in Iraq pass 10,000 (the 40K dead Iraqis don't matter of course) public opinion will put a halt to this decade's military adventurism.

It's a strange world when another 8,200 dead Americans looks like the best of all possible options.